This report provides estimates of the weekly number of deaths of person 1+ years in South Africa for epidemiological Week 4 of 2021, covering the period 24 – 30 January 2021.

While preparing predicted numbers of weekly deaths for 2021, enhancements have been made to the estimation process. The estimates now take into account the release of vital registration data to include registrations up to the close of 2017. They also ensure that the national estimate of excess deaths is consistent with the sum of the estimates for the provinces. Reporting has changed to ‘Epi-weeks’ that run from Sunday to Saturday which will align with other weekly reports and enable us to lessen the lag in reporting.

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